Seasonal Climate Outlook: El Niño is here

Friday 29th September 2023

Highlights:

• El Niño has officially arrived, and is likely to continue over summer.

• Dramatic temperature swings are likely in the next three months, with periods of unseasonable warmth likely followed by sharply colder southerlies

• Elevated chance for below normal rainfall in many regions

• Above normal wind strength, with periods of potentially damaging winds

• Greater fire danger potential than last year for many areas (For more info: www.checkitsalright.nz)

• Marine heatwaves are expected to be less persistent and widespread than those that have occurred in previous years.

A livestream will take place today at 11:30am: https://www.facebook.com/NIWAWeather/live.

NIWA will be joined by FENZ colleagues to discuss fire weather risk in more detail.

Kind regards,

Jess

ENDS

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