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While you were sleeping US data disappoint

Thursday 4th April 2013

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Wall Street sagged from the record highs reached yesterday as the latest jobs and services industry data were weaker than expected, prompting concern about the strength of the recovery in the world's largest economy.

Companies added 158,000 workers in March, ADP Research Institute data showed today, well below expectations of economists polled by Bloomberg and Reuters and the smallest increase since October. It was down from a revised 237,000 gain in February.

"The job market continues to improve, but in fits and starts," Mark Zandi, chief economists at Moody's Analytics, said in a statement. One key drag last month on the labour market was the lack of new construction jobs as rebuilding from the damage done by Superstorm Sandy in late 2012 eased.

For the first quarter of 2013, the ADP report has reported an average gain of 191,000 new private sector jobs per month.

Meanwhile, the Institute for Supply Management's index of non-manufacturing businesses dropped to 54.4 in March from 56 in February, also falling short of economists' predictions. The accompanying new orders index slid 3.6 percentage points and the employment index decreased 3.9 percentage points.

While the majority of those polled by ISM continue to be positive about business conditions, "there is an underlying concern regarding the uncertainty of the future economy," the institute said in a statement.

"That's been the process this whole recovery-you get one strong quarter and then things start to slow down again," Scott Brown, chief economist at Raymond James in St Petersburg, Florida, told Reuters.

All eyes now are on Friday's monthly payrolls report, which is expected to show employers created 200,000 jobs in March. The unemployment rate is forecast to stay at 7.7 percent.

In afternoon trading in New York, the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.74 percent, the Standard & Poor's 500 Index fell 1.04 percent, while the Nasdaq Composite Index dropped 1.29 percent.

In Europe, the Stoxx 600 Index finished the day with a 0.9 percent slide from the previous close. Benchmark stock indexes in Frankfurt, London and Paris weakened as well, giving up 0.9 percent, 1.1 percent and 1.3 percent respectively.

Commodities including gold, silver and oil also took a hit from the sobering data on the world's largest economy, reflecting concern demand might ease.

Conversely, US Treasuries became more attractive. The yield on the benchmark 10-year note shed five basis points to 1.81 percent, the lowest since January 24, according to Bloomberg. The 30-year bond yield fell five basis points to 3.05 percent.

In Europe, the ECB is widely expected to maintain its key interest rate at a record low 0.75 percent when policymakers meet on Thursday. Two of 56 economists surveyed by Bloomberg predict the ECB will further reduce its rate to 0.5 percent.

BusinessDesk.co.nz



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