Negotiating some trickier shoals

While a sharp deterioration in economic performance remains a risk, it is not the central scenario. Activity in the housing sector continues to moderate, and this is weighing on consumer spending, particularly discretionary spending.

Headline inflation is set to fall sharply. While core inflation is likely to remain elevated for some time, if employment growth continues to slow in line with weaker economic activity, the next move from the RBNZ is likely to be a cut in rates.

Comments from our readers

No comments yet

Add your comment:

Your name:
Your email:	Not displayed to the public
Comment:
Comments to Sharechat go through an approval process. Comments which are defamatory, abusive or in some way deemed inappropriate will not be approved. It is allowable to use some form of non-de-plume for your name, however we recommend real email addresses are used. Comments from free email addresses such as Gmail, Yahoo, Hotmail, etc may not be approved.

Anti-spam verification:

Type the text you see in the image into the field below. You are asked to do this in order to verify that this enquiry is not being performed by an automated process.

Related News:

RYM - Refreshed strategy and new capital management framework
ENS - Clarification of Gina Tuzcet’s status
BGP - 4th Quarter Sales to 25 January 2026
Contact Energy 2026 Half Year Results Presentation
February 2nd Morning Report
VHP - Half year results announcement date and webcast details
Devon Funds Morning Note - 30 January 2026
AIA - Auckland Airport new board appointment
General Capital (GEN:NZ) Subsidiary General Finance Update
January 30th Morning Report