NZ sheep numbers fall to lowest level since the 1930s Depression

Tuesday 9th August 2016

New Zealand's sheep flock dropped 3 percent to the lowest level since the 1930s Depression as farmers sold stock to cope with drought conditions and facial eczema. Lamb numbers are likely to fall 2.9 percent this spring.

Sheep numbers reduced to 28.3 million as at June 30 from 29.1 million a year earlier, marking the lowest level since 1934, according to the latest survey from the Economic Service of farmer-owned industry organisation Beef + Lamb New Zealand. Lamb numbers this spring are forecast to drop 2.9 percent to 23.3 million.

New Zealand now has about seven sheep for every person, down from 22 per person in 1982 when there were more than 70 million sheep. All regions reduced sheep numbers in the latest year as farmers chased higher returns for cattle, facial eczema impacted flocks, farmers reduced stock due to dry conditions, and as a result of fewer lambs the previous spring. The number of breeding ewes fell 3.1 percent, the 10th consecutive annual decline.

"North Island ewe numbers decreased 2.9 percent to 9 million with drought conditions and facial eczema a significant cause," said Beef + Lamb New Zealand chief operating officer Cros Spooner. "South Island numbers dropped 3.3 percent to 9.5 million, also affected significantly by drought. Reducing capital stock numbers is often the least preferred option for farmers so it does reflect a very challenging year."

The largest drop in breeding ewes was in Marlborough and Canterbury, where numbers dropped 6.5 percent due to ongoing drought conditions.

The lamb crop estimate will be updated in November.

Beef + Lamb noted that land use change towards dairy farming had slowed considerably over the past year, underpinned by a low farmgate milk price and increasing concerns over future environmental regulations for the sector. However, strong returns for beef cattle increased the lure of cattle production.

The country's beef cattle herd increased 2.8 percent to 3.7 million, following a 3.3 percent decline the previous season.

The largest contributor to the increase in cattle numbers was an 8.2 percent lift in weaner cattle as farmers responded to good returns and to offset selling of adult cattle in some regions, the organisation said.

While dairy cattle numbers aren't measured by the survey, the Economic Service expects the total herd to be almost unchanged, down about 0.9 percent to 6.43 million as at June 30.

The Economic Service noted that farming practices were more efficient than in the 1930s, with lamb production 1.7 times greater, mutton production 60 percent greater, and the average lamb slaughter weight up 23 percent.

BusinessDesk.co.nz

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