NZ dollar falls ahead of GDP, current account as markets succumb to Xmas snooziness

Thursday 22nd December 2016

The New Zealand dollar fell, dropping back below 69 US cents for a second day, as traders await third quarter gross domestic product and balance of payments data while market liquidity dwindles ahead of the Christmas-New Year holidays.

The kiwi dollar traded at 69 US cents as at 8am in Wellington, and earlier dipped as low as 68.93 cents, from 69.30 cents late yesterday. The trade-weighted index fell to 76.95 from 77.29.

The New Zealand economy probably expanded at a 0.8 percent pace in the third quarter, slowing from 0.9 percent in each of the previous three quarters but keeping growth at an above-trend pace. That's likely to add to the case that the Reserve Bank is done cutting interest rates and may begin hiking the official cash rate, now at a record low 1.75 percent, toward the end of 2017. The current account deficit probably widened to 3 percent of gross domestic product from 2.9 percent, based on the consensus forecast of economists.

"GDP data later this morning could inject some life into the currency in illiquid market conditions," said Jason Wong, currency strategist at Bank of New Zealand, in a note. "It would only be temporary though, as it's hard to see data nearly three months dated changing the outlook much."

The Treasury has projected economic growth to average 3 percent over the next five years, helping bolster the Crown's tax take and budget surpluses. Buoyant retailing probably lifted services sector growth while the construction industry is benefitting from a building boom in the face of record migration and a housing shortage in Auckland.

The local currency fell to 95.21 Australian cents from 95.55 cents late yesterday. It declined to 4.7872 yuan from 4.8177 yuan and dropped to 81.08 yen from 81.58 yen. The kiwi fell to 66.15 euro cents from 66.59 cents and declined to 55.87 British pence from 56 pence.

(BusinessDesk)

BusinessDesk.co.nz

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