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[sharechat] reply whats next by macdunk


From: "Duncan MacGregor" <d-m_macgregor@xtra.co.nz>
Date: Sun, 23 Mar 2003 15:08:55 +1200 (New Zealand Standard Time)


I think my views are well enough known by now BILL, forecasts and all.  I seem to be the voice in the wilderness, predicting good times round the corner.  Farming will be back when the dollar comes down, that will be a good one to watch out for.  SNOOPIES WRI will hit the jackpot, they still have a bit to fall first. I suspect my old mate LAZY HAGGIS, will get caught out with a sack of gold under the bed, predicting doom and gloom about  the market ,and all the companies in it.  There are a number of good solid companies underpriced that will come good when the investors realize the end of the world is not upon us.   I may however change tack a bit about an oil crisis now that the war has saved most of the possable destruction to the wells.    Predictive view points are what I am interested in, it gives a person a yard stick to work off.   We can never predict with certainty, but it gives an insight to a different point of view, which to me is great.  The market swings to far left, then it goes to far right, where as somewhere in the middle is where it should be.  Most investors are so concerned with there buying strategy that they ignore the most important thing of all, knowing when to bail out.  Do it with charts and get caught half way down the cliff, the other way is an educated guess.  Dont forget people the person to see the pendulam swing back first stands to make the biggest gain.   I think at first it will be service companies, power,  ports,  lines  etc.   The good solid ones are the safest bets, then after that as the market revs up people will buy anything until the next crash.  My view is, without a loser how can a person hope to be a winner.   The person that takes a calculated risk will come out as a winner in the end.   Keep the posts coming, dont worry about the odd idiot shouting you down, we dont have to agree to appreciate your point of view, however attack the Idea not the person. 
                                                        CHEERS   MACDUNK
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