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Daily ShareChat: Rakon

By Jenny Ruth

Sunday 21st November 2010

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 Jenny Ruth

Rakon continues to have significant growth opportunities ahead of itself in the smart phone, telecommunications infrastructure and Femtocell markets, says Jason Familton, an analyst at First NZ Capital.

"Execution, as always, remains key and, after disappointing in full-year 2009 and full-year 2010, the company needs to start to produce earnings growth again in line with its guidance," Familton says.

"However, underlying volume and revenue growth is likely to be offset somewhat by strength in the New Zealand dollar in full-year 2012 (with no New Zealand dollar/US dollar [hedging] currently in place) and therefore we remain cautious at this stage," he says.

If the currency remains at current levels, his forecast earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA), excluding associates, would fall to $19.4 million from $27.8 million and earnings per share would drop to four cents from 7.6 cents, he says.

Rakon reported a $5 million adjusted net profit for the six months ended September, behind Familton's $6.2 million forecast while its EBITDA of $11.2 million was behind his $12.7 million forecast.

Rakon maintained its earnings guidance for the full year between $25 million and $30 million and Familton is expecting $29.3 million, "primarily as a result of weaker New Zealand earnings offset by stronger associate earnings." Rakon has its Timemaker joint-venture in China and the Centum joint-venture in India.

Rating: Neutral.

 



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