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Trade Me Group

By Dan Stratful

Friday 4th May 2012

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Trade Me Group (NZX: TME ) is undoubtedly the ‘market darling’ of the NZ sharemarket at the moment  and its shares have performed well since their IPO, and have now exceeded most broker’s target prices which range from $3.50 - $4 per share.

TME was founded in 1999 as an auction website offering a range of goods from general items to real estate to motor vehicles. TME was acquired by Fairfax in 2006 for $750 million with Faixfax selling down its investment via an IPO in December 2011, listing the shares on the NZX at $2.70 per share. Today, Fairfax retains a 66% stake in TME which has grown its member base to 2.8 million users

Fund Managers’ supported TME during its IPO even though some market commentators thought the shares were fully priced and at the top end of the indicative range.

However the IPO has been a success, with the company trading above its $2.70 issue price from the outset, and TME’s interim results for first half ending 31 December 2011 (1H) largely met its prospectus forecasts.

1H EBITDA of $52 million was up 9% on the prior year, and 2% ahead of the prospectus forecasts, net profit of $36.4 million was up 5% on the prior year, and revenue was slightly ahead of expectations and up 13% on the prior year.

TME maintained its earnings and dividend guidance from the prospectus and reports that Mobile phones are a key focus area, as more and more users are accessing the site from smartphones.

Another area of growth for TME is the sale of new goods which already make up 40% of items sold on the site, and it will work with retailers to further develop and integrate this sector.

Internet stocks such as TME, often trade at high valuations, and the recent surge in TME’s share price is due to its acquisition of AutoBase. Its purchase of vehicle listing aggregator AutoBase moves TME’s stake from 25.4% (acquired in 2005) to 100% and AutoBase should contribute positively to TME’s earnings with its annual EBIT of $3.2m (up 18.5% year on year) and net profit of $2.3m.

At $3.87, TME’s shares are fully valued for now but are worth buying on price weakness.

Status: HOLD  

TME’s shares today traded at $3.87

For portfolio, sharemarket and fixed income enquires contact:
Dan Stratful at Investment Research Group (IRG)
Authorised Financial Adviser (AFA)
0800 437 8489, 09 304 0232, dan.stratful@irg.co.nz
**A disclosure statement is available, on request and free of charge.


Disclaimer
In accordance with the Financial Advisers Act 2008 (“the Act”) Sharechat is “Class Advice” and any advice or recommendations contained on this webpage is not “Personalised Advice” as defined by the Act. This means Sharechat does not take into account an investor’s particular financial position, financial needs, financial goals, risk profile or asset allocation. Investor’s who require “Personalised Advice” should contact an Authorised Financial Adviser (AFA).

DISCLAIMER: To the extent that any of the content above constitutes advice, it is general advice that has been prepared without reference to investor’s objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on any advice, investors should consider the appropriateness of the advice and IRG recommend that investors should obtain appropriate financial, legal and taxation advice before making any financial investment decision. The report is based on information compiled from public information and private research. IRG have completed the report on a best endeavours basis and do not accept any liability of loss or damage. IRG suggest that clients use this as part of a decision making process and check key data before making any investment decisions.
Employees may have an interest in the securities discussed in this report.



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